Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.259909 1.485923 1.721671 1.984418 2.267650 2.562474 2.891292
2025-01-19 0.975665 1.299507 1.657779 2.077048 2.548364 3.056687 3.641488
2025-01-26 0.844577 1.224189 1.660936 2.187692 2.794466 3.461854 4.242387
2025-02-02 0.750474 1.175688 1.682207 2.308811 3.044962 3.867155 4.840843
2025-02-09 0.689294 1.154740 1.725556 2.446180 3.305786 4.277024 5.437899
2025-02-16 0.613543 1.104563 1.725298 2.525019 3.493202 4.599199 5.932617
2025-02-23 0.527804 1.030116 1.686413 2.550004 3.611264 4.836822 6.326860
2025-03-02 0.415243 0.904039 1.570682 2.471114 3.597624 4.915153 6.532552
2025-03-09 0.315698 0.782106 1.449690 2.376724 3.557899 4.956931 6.690668
2025-03-16 0.246911 0.696364 1.369939 2.328797 3.569966 5.055819 6.911626
2025-03-23 0.211436 0.660296 1.356570 2.365434 3.685699 5.277745 7.276666
2025-03-30 0.176085 0.618403 1.331082 2.383147 3.775527 5.466911 7.601782
2025-04-06 0.130631 0.550752 1.266374 2.350402 3.806949 5.593524 7.864103
2025-04-13 0.118134 0.548300 1.301556 2.456603 4.019438 5.944851 8.399462
2025-04-20 0.109776 0.552974 1.346864 2.576128 4.248535 6.316036 8.958117
2025-04-27 0.104452 0.563629 1.401499 2.708954 4.495439 6.709911 9.545099
2025-05-04 0.102363 0.581545 1.467810 2.858490 4.764533 7.131702 10.166381
2025-05-11 0.090707 0.573186 1.490001 2.944335 4.949500 7.448896 10.661184
2025-05-18 0.072406 0.542327 1.472487 2.971479 5.055844 7.667445 11.035880
2025-05-25 0.044537 0.470908 1.380164 2.885679 5.008982 7.692100 11.172835
2025-06-01 0.022813 0.399553 1.280001 2.782876 4.935289 7.679924 11.262159
2025-06-08 0.011214 0.351432 1.216249 2.730621 4.926686 7.747232 11.446182
2025-06-15 0.007076 0.335877 1.213128 2.770571 5.043960 7.974777 11.827837